UK economy grows slightly after previously predicted decline is revised

The UK economy grew slightly over the second quarter after a previously predicted decline was revised by the Office for National Statistics

Published

It means the UK might not currently be in recession, as was predicted by the Bank of England earlier this month.

A technical recession is when the economy witnesses two consecutive quarters of decline.

The ONS said on Friday that gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.2 percent over the three months to June.

It had previously estimated that the economy shrank by 0.1 percent over the period.

UK high street
UK high street
Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng
Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng

Based on this previous guidance, the Bank of England implied the UK was likely to currently be in recession as it forecast another decline, of 0.2 percent, for the three months to September, in its Monetary Policy Committee meeting earlier this month.

But the new figures from the ONS mean that, even if the economy declines as predicted this quarter, it will not yet be in recession.

The ONS said this was driven by upwards improvements for the health and financial sectors.

ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said: “These improved figures show the economy grew in the second quarter, revised up from a small fall.

“They also show that, while household savings fell back in the most recent quarter, households saved more than we previously estimated during and after the pandemic.”